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The bitcoin halving is set to take place in the next few days, which will cut miners' main stream of revenue in half. "We believe a bitcoin price above $60,000-$65,000 means the halving is de-risked for nearly all public miners," Needham analyst John Todaro wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday. It currently costs miners between $36,000 and $52,700 to mine a single bitcoin, Todaro said. Miners offer amplified exposure to bitcoin's price action, which has been more volatile since the launch of bitcoin ETFs introduced more leverage to the market. "That's propelled bitcoin to a threshold where the miners are really generating healthy economics," said Colonnese.
Persons: , Needham, John Todaro, Todaro, Iris, Mike Colonnese, Wainwright, Iris Energy, bitcoin, it's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Marathon, Iris Energy, Cipher Mining, Miners, H.C, Iris, JPMorgan Locations: exahash
"Bitcoin reclaiming its all-time high yet again shows it is never going away," said Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy Digital. Catalysts driving the surge in the cryptocurrency include the U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs that started trading earlier this year, along with the tightening bitcoin supply ahead of the late April "halving." "The odds have always been against bitcoin," Thorn said, citing naysayers who have referred to it as "a bubble" and compared it to the "tulip mania" in Holland during the 1600s. "Retail interest is oftentimes momentum driven, and all-time high levels are a pivotal momentum driver for even more investment," he told CNBC. Nevertheless, U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs have brought legitimacy to it and been hugely popular, with BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) passing $10 billion in assets under management last week.
Persons: Jaap Arriens, FTX, crypto's Lehman, Alex Thorn, bitcoin, Clara Medalie, Thorn, naysayers, Needham, John Todaro, Crypto, BlackRock's Organizations: NurPhoto, Getty, Metrics, Galaxy, CNBC, Securities and Exchange Commission Locations: U.S, Holland
Needham raises price target on Coinbase to $220, here's why
  + stars: | 2024-02-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNeedham raises price target on Coinbase to $220, here's whyJohn Todaro, senior research analyst at Needham, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss Coinbase as the stock surged after Q4 earnings results, why his firm has a buy rating on the stock, and more.
Persons: John Todaro Organizations: Needham
Wall Street is celebrating Coinbase after the crypto exchange operator posted its first quarterly profit in two years. Late Thursday, Coinbase posted earnings of $1.04 per share on $954 million of revenue for the fourth quarter. "Happy days are here again" for Coinbase, as Raymond James put it, but it's not clear for how long. "That said, we maintain our U/P rating given crypto market unpredictability, lack of revenue diversification, valuation, and continued legal overhang." JPMorgan, neutral, PT $95 "Management calls spot bitcoin ETFs [a] net positive but, we're still unconvinced," said JPMorgan's Kenneth Worthington.
Persons: Coinbase, haven't, bitcoin, Raymond James, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Will Nance, revs, Jason Kupferberg, Benjamin Budish, EBITDA, underperform, Patrick O'Shaughnessy, we're, Kenneth Worthington, Keefe, KBW's Kyle Voigt, Oppenheimer, Owen Lau, Devin Ryan, Needham, John Todaro, Canaccord, Joseph Vafi, Michael Bloom Organizations: LSEG, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, " Bank of America, Bank of America, Barclays, JPMorgan, Management, SEC, Coinbase's, BTC Locations: U.S, Coinbase, Needham
Bitcoin pushed higher to end the week as investors took some comfort in the idea that outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin ETF (GBTC) could be starting to taper off. It's on pace, however, to post a nearly 10% decline for the week. If premarket gains hold, Coinbase is is on pace to end the week up 1% for the week. It would mark for its first positive week in five. Bitcoin miner Riot Platforms is set to rise 9% this week and also post its first positive week in five.
Persons: Bitcoin, It's, John Todaro, Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, — CNBC's Gina Francolla Organizations: Metrics, JPMorgan, U.S, CNBC PRO Locations: GBTC
Coinbase shares have even further to climb despite already being up 13% since the start of December and the low appetite for crypto coming from retail investors, according to Needham. Needham raised its price target on Coinbase on Tuesday to $160 from $120, implying about 13% upside from its closing price Monday. Meanwhile, although retail investors' appetite for crypto has improved since bottoming a year ago after the collapse of FTX, interest is generally low, according to Needham. "Retail crypto engagement is considerably lower than in prior years and despite the recent price gains, has been fairly muted," Todaro said. Dominance tends to rise in bear markets as investors rotate into the safety of bitcoin compared to other crypto coins .
Persons: Needham, John Todaro, Todaro, Coinbase, Franklin Templeton, Michael Bloom Organizations: U.S . Department of Justice, Apple Locations: Needham, U.S, BlackRock, WisdomTree, bitcoin
But the Bitcoin halving is expected in the spring and it will likely reduce companies' revenue. The Bitcoin halving event is highly anticipated event by crypto investors because it historically has set the stage for new bull runs. It takes place every four years when the reward for mining bitcoin – which makes up a significant portion of mining companies' revenue – is cut in half. Marathon famously has the highest energy costs and lowest margins, while Riot has relatively low power costs but shares are expensive. Lower revenue, higher costs Generally, the mining stocks benefit from bitcoin price increases because those translate into higher mining revenue for the company.
Persons: John Todaro, Reginald Smith, Needham, CleanSpark, There's, Smith, bitcoin, Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Riot, Miners Locations: Marathon
High interest rates have not been bitcoin's friend in the past, and the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield recently reaching new generational highs comes at an especially inconvenient time for the cryptocurrency. "We continue to see high yields as a negative for bitcoin and in particular crypto more broadly," said Needham analyst John Todaro. The central bank chief also left the door open for higher interest rates , saying he doesn't think levels are currently too high. In the past, high yields have put pressure on crypto, giving investors fewer reasons to bet on high-risk assets such as bitcoin in the face of high yield, low risk assets like government bonds. Callie Cox, an analyst at the investment company eToro, said bitcoin could actually continue to do well — partly as a result of high interest rates.
Persons: it's, Needham, John Todaro, Jerome Powell, Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Callie Cox, bitcoin, What's, Crypto, Cox Organizations: Treasury, Wolfe Research
A representations of virtual currency Bitcoin is seen in front of a stock graph in this illustration taken May 19, 2021. The central bank minutes from the July meeting cautioned that Fed officials see "upside risks" to inflation that could potentially lead to more rate hikes. At that meeting, Fed raised its benchmark interest rate to the highest in more than 22 years . The eventual debut of a spot bitcoin ETF, one of crypto's biggest positive catalysts, also lost some steam this week, he added. Several of the top crypto assets by market cap – including Binance's BNB coin , Ripple's XRP and the Solana and Polygon coins – were lower by more than 3% Thursday.
Persons: Fed, Bitcoin, Sylvia Jablonski, Needham's John Todaro, Ripple's XRP Organizations: Treasury, Metrics, Fed, CNBC, SEC, Solana Locations: U.S, Defiance,
Thursday's judgment was only a partial win for Ripple, but significant nonetheless for both the company and the wider crypto market. Coinbase shares rallied more than 24% the day of the ruling on optimism that it might prevail in its own battle with the SEC. Regulators in June sued Coinbase, alleging it was operating as a broker, an exchange and a clearinghouse for unregistered securities – and named 13 such securities. "In our view, [the] decision in the Ripple case helps tip the scale even more toward a favorable outcome for Coinbase." Needham has a buy rating on Coinbase and on Friday raised its price target to $120 from $70.
Persons: Coinbase, it's, Canaccord, Joseph Vafi, Vafi, Needham, John Todaro, Genuity, Raymond James, Berenberg, Cowen, Ramsey El Organizations: Labs, SEC, Regulators, Wedbush Securities, Berenberg, BTC, Coinbase, Barclays Locations: Coinbase
Here's why Coinbase stock is tumbling
  + stars: | 2023-06-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHere's why Coinbase stock is tumblingJohn Todaro, Needham VP of crypto assets and blockchain research, joins ‘Squawk on the Street’ to discuss Coinbase as the company's stock plummeted after the SEC sued the company over the exchange and stalking program.
Persons: John Todaro, Needham, Squawk Organizations: SEC
While the possibilities are still coming into focus, Needham sees at least one near-term opportunity for investors, and a stock to play it. In the near term, the infrastructure level is the place for investors, and Applied Digital offers an interesting opportunity, according to the firm. "We have been excited about Applied Digital, which is a bitcoin mining hosting provider that recently entered into hosting high performance compute (HPC) and AI," Needham analyst John Todaro told CNBC by email. "Given the similar power density requirements between bitcoin mining and hosting AI applications, we believe there is an attractive opportunity for Applied Digital and potentially other mining hosting providers to enter this space." It's still early days for both crypto and AI individually, although the AI hype may have better longevity from having been around for longer.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailClear rules for crypto companies will lead to greater institutional adoption, analyst saysJohn Todaro of Needham says "institutions are in part sidelined from the space, waiting for that regulatory clarity, at least here in the United States."
Watch CNBC's full interview with John Todaro
  + stars: | 2023-01-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with John TodaroJohn Todaro, Needham VP of crypto assets and blockchain research, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the collapse of FTX, the recent bitcoin rally, and more.
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt could take a few months for the fallout from FTX's collapse to be fully uncovered, analyst saysJohn Todaro of Needham discusses the contagion risks from the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange.
The article was one of a series of reports this year by the news agency on Binance's financial compliance and relationship with regulators across the world. Reuters also asked representatives of the local Binance units and affiliates about their relationship with the main Binance exchange. In Italy, Binance's public corporate filings detail just the unit's capital base and its ownership by a separate Binance company in Ireland. The Italian company, Binance Italy S.R.L., has its listed address in a block of shops and apartments in the southern city of Lecce. Just two of the Binance units analysed by Reuters offer more substantial details in their filings.
Nevertheless, crypto trading services such as those offered by Coinbase , SoFi and Robinhood are likely to suffer a lull nevertheless as retail and institutional investors alike exit the market or try and move past their fear of another upheaval. "We are updating our model to reflect a 'lower for longer' assumption, particularly as it pertains to retail trading," Budish said. SoFi in a unique position This week, Democratic senators urged regulators to look into SoFi's trading activity as Washington attempts contemplates acting on FTX's spectacular collapse. SoFi has said its crypto revenue exposure is immaterial, it's compliant with regulators, doesn't do any crypto lending and had no exposure to FTX. However, it's possible that SOFI may find itself more heavily regulated with potential for incremental capital and liquidity requirements."
Active user jump Where analysts see the potential for optimism in Coinbase's report is in its reported active monthly users. While active monthly users dipped in the quarter to 8.5 million from 9 million, the company handily beat Wall Street's expectations of 7.84 million monthly active users. Budish also lowered his price target after management's guidance but maintained his equal weight rating on the Coinbase. The result was that lower trading volume drove Coinbase trading revenue to the lowest level since becoming a public company." Cowen has an outperform rating on shares of Coinbase and a $75 price target, albeit down from an earlier $85.
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